The future of fake meat in China

Business & Technology
A photo by the author of his colleagues at their startup company in Beijing, in July 2003 โ€” just after the World Health Organization had declared the global SARS outbreak contained.
/ Credit: A photo by the author of his colleagues at their startup company in Beijing, in July 2003 โ€” just after the World Health Organization had declared the global SARS outbreak contained.

Photo credit: The China Project illustration

In the U.S., plant-based meat alternativesย are all the rage. Beyond Meat, which serves up meat imitation products made from a mix of 22 ingredients, has quintupled in stock price since it went public in May. Impossible Foods, which adds in a genetically engineered ingredient to make its imitation meat โ€œbleed,โ€ is now the focus of investor buzz.

These fake meat leaders are now eyeing China.ย According to Sixth Tone, โ€œBoth are already expanding rapidly in Hong Kong and preparing to launch across the mainland โ€” Beyond by the end of 2019, and Impossible within two years.โ€ The chief executive of Impossible Foods even told Reuters, โ€œChina is our highest priority for future expansion, full stop.โ€

But can they replicate their success in the largest market across the Pacific? Sixth Tone explains why itโ€™s uncertain:

  • Chinese competitors were bolsteredย by Beyondโ€™s debut:ย โ€œshares in nearly every Chinese company with even a tangential relation to plant-based protein skyrocketed on Shanghaiโ€™s A-share market.โ€
  • Domestic companiesย likeย Whole Perfectย and Hong Chang Biotechnologyย are making a wider variety of plant-based meat products at cheaper prices than Impossible and Beyond.
  • Chinaโ€™s Buddhists have made popular vegetarian dishesย for hundreds of years, and what is seen as a good meat substitute may be more culturally relative than companies assume.
  • Pork is the most popular meat in China,ย and that also happens to be one that no one has found a good substitute for yet because of its high fat content.

Either way, the meat alternative market is likely to grow in China, for several reasons.

  • The โ€œgovernment aims to convince consumersย to halve their meat consumption by 2030 to cut carbon emissions and combat obesity,โ€ according to Sixth Tone.
  • Vegetarianismย is growing among younger Chinese people, as are preferences for organic and other foods perceived as healthy.
  • Endemic food safety problemsย โ€” see, for example, the next story on the swine fever epizootic sweeping the country โ€” may reduce Chinaโ€™s appetite for meat.