Links for Friday, August 14, 2020

Notable China news from around the web.

WHAT WEโ€™RE READING:

More important China news and analysis from around the web:

No quantitative easing: The Peopleโ€™s Bank of China is probably not secretlyย buying up debt. In reaction to reports from Bloomberg, among others, that contain this speculation, Trivium writes today in its China Markets Dispatch:

In July, holdings of Chinese sovereign bonds by โ€œother special clearing membersโ€ shot up by about 200 billion yuan [$29 billion] โ€” the largest increase on recordโ€ฆ

The fact that the PBoC is on this list has the market speculating that the central bank is engaging in quantitative easing (QE) โ€” by directly buying government bonds to help fund fiscal spendingโ€ฆ

The biggest reason to think this wasnโ€™t the PBoC is that a sudden shift toward QE does not fit with a single statement any PBoC or other financial official has made over the past two months โ€” they are focused on monetary exit, not aggressive new support.

How the Jimmy Lai arrest backfired: Jiayang Fan writes for the New Yorker:

Inexplicably, Chinese officials chose to arrest Lai in a manner that created a powerful visual for the world to see. First, two hundred police officers arrived in Apple Dailyโ€™s headquarters. As stunned employees looked on and broadcast the scene on Facebook Live, officers searched through desks and seized more than thirty crates of files. Instead of projecting government strength, the brazen attempt at intimidation reinforced the notion that Beijing must resort to bare-knuckle coercionโ€ฆ

The Australian scholar of Chinese history Geremie Barmรฉ told me that the arrest of Lai marked the growth of โ€œLegalistic-Fascist-Stalinism,โ€ a term coined by the former Tsinghua University law professor Xu Zhangrun, whose candid criticisms of the Communist Party have long rankled the state. Barmรฉ called the use of the new security law to stifle press freedom an autocratโ€™s tactic of repression. โ€œJimmy Lai and the Apple Daily may just be the beginning,โ€ Barmรฉ told me. โ€œThe law here is a weapon of the regime, designed to legitimize the ruler rather than protect the citizenry.โ€

Fan says that Lai told her in an interview last year, โ€œWhat China wants in Hong Kong is a capitalistic city without the concept of politics; what China wants in its citizens is a body that responds reflexively to fear.โ€ He added, โ€œContrary to what they might think, I donโ€™t hate the Party. I just donโ€™t fear them.โ€

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