Huawei is now cut off from advanced semiconductors. What happens next?

Business & Technology

As of September 15, any manufacturer selling products globally that may eventually be sold to Huawei needs to get a license from the U.S. government. At least eight companies have applied, but will any get approved?

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Illustration by Derek Zheng

Huaweiโ€™s day of reckoning is here. Yesterday, the most expansive U.S. Commerce Department restrictions yet on the companyโ€™s supply chains went into effect.

  • The new rules, announced last month, require any manufacturer selling products globally that may eventually be sold to Huawei to get a license from the U.S. government.
  • They are widely regarded as an existential threatย to Chinaโ€™s leading telecom company.

At least eight companies have appliedย for waivers to continue supplying to Huawei, per Caixinย and Focus Taiwan:

  • Qualcomm and Micron in the U.S.
  • Samsung and SK Hynix in South Korea.
  • MediaTek, Macronix, and Nanya in Taiwan.
  • SMIC in China.

โ€œNo company had announced that its application was successful as of Wednesday afternoon Beijing time,โ€ Caixin reports.

Not on the list: TSMC, the leading semiconductor manufacturer in Taiwan, which could supply the cutting-edge 7-nm Kirin 810 chip that Huawei requires for its smartphones, but which no company in China is advanced enough to make, per TechNode.

Huawei is stocked up, for nowย โ€” โ€œTSMC and MediaTek, for example, saw revenue grow 26% and 31% respectively during the period from June to Augustโ€ largely due to a spike in orders from Huawei, Caixin notes โ€” but the chairman of one company, Macronix, โ€œthought there was little chance that the companyโ€™s application would be approved by the U.S. government before the countryโ€™s general election in November.โ€

Chip wars in the U.K.

On another front in the war for the worldโ€™s chips, the American technology company Nvidia has proposed a $40 billion deal to take over Arm, a British semiconductor company, and as with similar multinational deals, it first requires a sign-off from major regulators, including in Beijing.

Beijing could reject or delay the dealย because of the risk of allowing more high-tech supply chains to be influenced by American regulators. The Financial Times reports:

  • โ€œLook at how the U.S. is treating Huawei. If Arm is acquired by a U.S. company, everyone will be worried,โ€ a representative of the Beijing Semiconductor Associationย told local media.
  • โ€œThe possibility that Arm could be politicized as a U.S. technology weapon against China’s technology companies must be taken seriously,โ€ the nationalistic Global Times state media tabloid also warnedย in an editorial, citing the experience of Huawei.
  • โ€œWill it still find a way to provide us with IP after being acquired? I have to say Iโ€™m a bit worried,โ€ an employee at Huaweiโ€™s HiSilicon chip design division told the FT.

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