Sri Lanka: The canary in the Belt and Road coal mine
Is Sri Lanka the pearl of the Belt and Road? A brief history of Chinese investments in the South Asian island nation.
1. A brief history of Chinaโs investments in Sri Lanka
Yesterday, Sri Lankaโs Daily Mirror published an interview with Professor Rory Medcalf, head of the Australian National Universityโs National Security College, in which he explains why Sri Lanka is of vital interest to anyone following Chinaโs rise and the rollout of the Belt and Road project:
I think Sri Lanka is strategically important. This is in part because the major economies that all of us depend on in Asia โ China, India, Japan and South Korea โ in turn rely on the sea-lanes in the Indian Ocean. Sri Lanka is a central point in these sea-lanes. It is a vital place for ships to stop. Sri Lanka also has potentially excellent visibility over what is happening in this region, in terms of maritime traffic. Secondly, Sri Lanka has become terrain for strategic competition as we see the rise of China and the expansion of Chinaโs interests and its presence into the Indian Ocean.
But what exactly is China doing in Sri Lanka? And what are the consequences for Sri Lanka? Itโs complicated. Here is a brief history of recent events, ending with a new item from today to bring the story up to date:
- In June 2007, Sri Lankaโs Sunday Times reported that at the port of Hambantota, the China Harbour Engineering Company was building breakwaters โto enable this fishery harbor to be used throughout the year.โ The project was worth $2.1 million (Rs334 million) and was financed with a loan from the Exim Bank of China.
- By 2008, the project had expanded greatly: The Sunday Times said that the port construction site had expanded to โmore than 1,000 hectares,โ with financing up to US$360 million, of which 85 percent was as a loan from Chinaโs Exim Bank.
- At around this time, the term โChinaโs String of Pearlsโ began frequently popping up in media reports to refer to an alleged Chinese strategy of building a network of naval bases around the Indian Ocean. The term has been used in academic literature and in Indian newspapers since at least 1999.
- In 2009, Sri Lankaโs 25-year-long civil war ended after the national army defeated the Tamil Tigers. By December 2009, China had โbagged the largest chunk of post-war development projects in Sri Lankaโs North and South with ongoing and projects concluded estimated at more than US$ 6.1 billion,โ according to the Sunday Times.
- In 2010, Sri Lankans began to complain about the China deals in the media. The Sunday Leader editorialized: โThe Sri Lankan people get little or no benefit from the large amount of monies spent on the projects. The money lent from China is going back into the pockets of Chinese construction firms and workers, completely bypassing Sri Lankans and minimizing any trickle down and/or multiple effects which could have stimulated the local economy.โ
- But in the same year, โSri Lanka gains from Indo-Chinese supremacy battleโ was how the BBC saw the benefits to the island nation of an investment rivalry between China and India, while the New York Times said (paywall) that Chinaโs investments in Sri Lankan and other South Asian ports was โirking Indiaโ and forcing it โto rethink relations with its neighbors.โ
- โThe White Elephant In Hambantotaโ is how Sri Lankaโs Sunday Leader, a consistent opponent of Chinese deals, characterized the Beijing-led port development in 2011. In the same year, the main opposition United National Party (UNP) complained after rock on the seabed delayed the development of the port. In December 2011, the UNP said that the government had continuously misled people over the Hambantota Portโs maximum depth. The UNP complained that it was 17 meters, not deep enough for unloading larger cargo vessels.
- In June 2012, the Hambantota port opened for business. Agence France-Presse reported: โSri Lankaโs first Chinese-built port, a strong symbol of Beijingโs investment in South Asia, opened for international shipping yesterday with the handling of 1,000 cars from India.โ
- โNews that Sri Lanka had granted Chinese state-owned companies operating rights to four berths at the Hambantota Port once they are completed next year has caught the shipping industry unawares,โ reported Sri Lankaโs Sunday Times in October 2014. The report notes that the government had essentially handed over control of the port to Chinese entities without any consultation with the Sri Lankan public.
- Promising to scrutinize Chinese activities in Sri Lanka, and pursue better relations with India, opposition leader Maithripala Sirisena won the 2015 Sri Lankan presidential elections. The Washington Post asked if his new government could really break free from China.
- It soon became clear that Sri Lanka could not break free from China as the government worked to finalize a 99-year lease of the Hambantota Port to a Chinese company, China Merchants Port Holdings.
- In January 2017, โhundreds of Sri Lankans clashed with policeโ at the opening of an industrial zone at the port, according to Reuters, which said it โwas the first time opposition to Chinese investments in Sri Lanka turned violent.โ Interestingly, the man leading the protests was the former president Mahinda Rajapaksa, who had first encouraged Chinese investment in Sri Lanka during his time in office, from 2005 to 2015.
- After the protests, Sri Lanka negotiated with China Merchants Port Holdings to โcut its stake in a strategic port project by up to a quarter.โ However, Chinaโs stake remained a majority, leading Sri Lankan opposition politicians to characterize the plan as wanting โto give permanently the Hambantota Portโ to China.
- In July 2017, the Sri Lankan government approved a new $1.5 billion deal for commercial operations at a Chinese-built shipping port in the southern city of Hambantota, Reuters reported. The new deal โsought to limit Chinaโs role to running commercial operations at the port,โ while leaving Sri Lanka in charge of โbroader security.โ
- In December 2017, Reuters reported that Sri Lankaโs parliament last week approved a ย deal that leases the Hambantota Port to China Merchants Port Holdings for 99 years and offers tax concessions for up to 32 years. The deal was now valued at $1.1 billion.
- โDebt-trap diplomacyโ was how Indian author and commentator Brahma Chellaney characterized the news on Twitter. He explained, โIn a reminder of how Chinese loans are collateralized by strategically important physical assets, Sri Lanka today formally handed over the Hambantota port to China on a 99-year lease because it is simply not in a position to repay its onerous debt to Beijing.โ If you prefer an article to a tweet, here is Chellaneyโs article on the same subject, titled โChinaโs creditor imperialism.โ
- But China continues to invest. In January this year, Reuters reported that a consortium led by state-run China Harbour Engineering Company Ltd had signed a deal to invest $1 billion โto build three 60-storey office towers on reclaimed land of the Port City development in Sri Lankaโs capital.โ You can see artist renderings of the planned flashy development here.
That brings us to today: Reuters reports (via Sri Lankaโs Daily Mirror) that โtalks between China and Sri Lanka for a free trade agreement have hit major hurdles, mainly because Beijing doesnโt agree to Colomboโs demand for a review of the deal after 10 years.โ Reuters says that concerns about Beijing-led investments have recently prompted โgreater scrutiny of deals with China.โ
Also today: Press Trust of India reports: ย โAmid the global concern over Chinaโs โdebt trap diplomacyโ, a bipartisan group of influential US lawmakers has visited Sri Lanka to gauge the ground-level situation.โ
2. Will Liu Xia ever be free?
Liao Yiwu ๅปไบฆๆญฆ, a Chinese writer and dissident exiled in Germany, is a close friend of Liu Xiaโs ๅ้, the widow of the Nobel Peace Prize-winning Liu Xiaobo ๅๆๆณข, who died in state captivity on July 13 last year.
Today, Liao published on China Change an audio excerpt of a recent phone call he had with Liu, whose effective house arrest has now stretched to nearly eight years, since her late husband first received the recognition from Norway that so upset Beijing. She has never been charged with a crime.
- โLoving Liu Xiaobo is a crime, for which Iโve received a life sentence,โ Liu cried out during the phone call. โTheyโre going to keep me here to serve out Xiaoboโs sentence,โ she continued.
- Police have reportedly promised Liu that in July, after the politically sensitive month of June โ particularly for the remembrance of a June 4, 1989, protest leader like Liu Xiaobo โ and after the first-year anniversary of her husbandโs death, she would finally be free to leave the country.
- โIโve lost count of how many times this promise has been made,โ Liao writes in a letter accompanying the recording. He explains, โIn early April this year, in response to numerous apparently optimistic signals, Liu Xia packed, and packed again, getting ready to travel โ but her dreams dimmed and went dark. The Chinese official who had made promises to her had disappeared, and in despair Liu Xia declared that she would โuse death to defy.โโ
Meanwhile, while the Chinese Communist Party goes to extreme lengths to snuff out the memory of one of its most prominent dissidents, Taiwan plans to commemorate him on the anniversary of his death with a sculpture in the heart of Taipei, right by the cityโs iconic Taipei 101 skyscraper. The New York Times notes (paywall) that the Taipei 101 plaza, of course, is โone of the most popular areas in the city for Chinese tourists to visit and take photographs.โ The South China Morning Post reports that a group of activists in Hong Kong has already erected a statue commemorating Liu Xiaobo, in advance of that cityโs annual candlelight vigil to remember the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown.
โLucas Niewenhuis
—–
Our whole team really appreciates your support as Access members. Please chat with us on our Slack channel or contact me anytime at jeremy@thechinaproject.com.
โJeremy Goldkorn, Editor-in-Chief
Here are the stories that caught our eye this week:
- The trade war drumbeat resumed, as the U.S. threatened a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion in goods to be announced on June 15. The statement last week by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, in which he said the trade war was โon hold,โ was slammed as an โunfortunate soundbiteโ by trade advisor Peter โDeath by Chinaโ Navarro in an NPR interview this week.
- The Trump administration proposed visa restrictions on Chinese students in the U.S. as part of the broader fight over intellectual property theft. This led to highly polarized reactions: We recommend a Twitter thread by Wall Street Journal reporter Te-Ping Chen and a piece in MacroPolo for context and analysis.
- Google continued to make moves in China, this week partnering with Tencent, Huawei, Xiaomi, and Baidu to distribute a file-organizing app called Files Go (ๆไปถๆๅฎข wรฉnjiร n jรญkรจ; literally โfile geekโ). Meanwhile, Google Translate has become a top reference app in the Chinese App Store, surpassing even Baidu Translate.
- Biotech, industrial agriculture, and batteries are three areas where Chinese companies are making big moves toward becoming market leaders. We highlighted news from each industry this week.
- South China Sea waters became even choppier than usual, as Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte threatened military action if China crossed a โred lineโ by claiming contested natural resources, and the usually mild-mannered U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis called out Chinaโs island developments as โout of step with international law.โ
- A Greenpeace analysis showed Chinaโs carbon emissions accelerating, putting the country on track to make 2018 potentially its most polluting year since 2011.
- Behemoth Chinese tech companies
China has 9 of the world’s 20 biggest tech companies / MarketWatch
Another highlight taken from the annual report from Mary Meeker, one of the most respected analysts of the internet. The worldโs biggest five tech companies by market valuation are Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), and Facebook. But Alibaba is number six and Tencent ranks seventh. The other Chinese companies in the top 20 are Ant Financial (9), Baidu (13), Xiaomi (14), Didi Chuxing (16), JD.com (17), Meituan Dianping (19), and Bytedance/Toutiao (20).
More from Meekerโs report:
The trends driving Chinese tech: Highlights from Mary Meekerโs 2018 internet trends report / TechNode
A Bloomberg article on another theme from Meekerโs presentation: โa sharp uptick in time spent watching short-form videos โ those under five minutes โ seemingly at the expense of long-form and well ahead of live and game stream.โ - Chinese student visas in the U.S.
Who loses from restricting Chinese student visas? / MacroPolo
โRubioโs reaction reflected a highly politicized DC climate, while Guarjadoโs take channeled the Silicon Valley orthodoxy that openness is always better for innovation. Neither of these is quite on the mark.โ
See also: Some quick notes on news re: Tightened U.S. visas for Chinese students on Twitter by Wall Street Journal correspondent Te-Ping Chen. - Beijing continues to put the squeeze on Taiwan
Beijing is upping the pressure on Taiwan: ‘Expectation of reunification is certainly increasing’ / CNBC
Taiwan to loan Haiti US$150 million for infrastructure projects amid Beijing onslaught / SCMP
China angles for Swaziland to ditch Taiwan before major African summit / Reuters - Gung ho in the South China Sea
Pentagon official says U.S. can ‘take down’ man-made islands like those in the South China Sea / TIME
โโI would just tell you that the United States military has had a lot of experience in the Western Pacific, taking down small islands,โ Marine Corps Lt. Gen. Kenneth McKenzie said in response to a reporter asking about whether the U.S. has the ability to โblow apartโ Chinaโs controversial man-made islands.โ
He added, โWe have a lot of experience, in the Second World War, taking down small islands that are isolatedโฆ Thatโs a core competency of the U.S. military that weโve done before. You shouldnโt read anything more into that than a simple statement of historical fact.โ - Civil rights in Hong Kong
Hong Kong court overturns ruling granting spousal benefits to husband of gay civil servant / Hong Kong Free Press
โCourt of Appeal Chief Judge Andrew Cheung said Friday that Hong Kongโs de facto constitution favours heterosexual marriage and therefore it is not discriminatory for gay people to be excluded from marrying.โ - Be careful what you do with your old phone
Secondhand mobile phone user data is being sold in China for as little as RMB 10 / TechNode
โSecondhand mobile phones have become a target for illicit data brokers, who recover deleted user data and sell it on the black market for as little as RMB 10 ($1.56). Even phones that have been formatted to prevent incidents like this are not immune to exploitation.โ - International Childrenโs Day
Wว Men podcast: Childrenโs Day Special / Radii China
โWhatโs your fondest childhood memory? What was your favorite entertainment as a kid? Do you still remember your first toy? If you ask these questions to Chinese kids born in the 1980s, โ90s or 2000s, you will receive very different responses.โ
How millennials hijacked Childrenโs Day in China / Sixth Tone
โZhou, a 22-year-old college student waiting at KFC, told Sixth Tone that she and her friends often celebrated Childrenโs Day by ordering kidsโ meals at restaurants.โ Then, unsurprisingly, some KFCs ran out of kidsโ meals. - Camp culture in the P.R.C.
Meet Chinaโs latest unlikely gay icon / Sixth Tone
โShaped largely by its neighbors, Japan and South Korea, Chinaโs idol culture is dominated by pretty, fresh-faced ingenues. But Wang swaggered in with a distinctive fashion sense and heavy makeup reminiscent of divas in Western countries โ which has led to fans calling her โJuyonce,โ โJuhanna,โ and โNicki Minajuโ after other gutsy songstresses with huge LGBTQ followings.โ - Chinese bike companies abroad
Bike theft puts the brakes on China’s Mobike in Mexico City / CNBC
โNow it has run into a problem increasingly plaguing the country: street crime. Theft has been so widespread that in the past few days, dozens of the app’s customers have complained on social media about the lack of available bicycles.โ
From The China Projectโs coverage last year: Bike sharing done right: A real Chinese innovation and Has China reached peak bike sharing, or will the cycle continue? - Southeast Asian leaders dancing awkwardly with Beijing
Anwar backs Mahathirโs review of Chinese deals โ but not to annoy Beijing / SCMP
โMalaysiaโs reformist icon Anwar Ibrahim has lent his support to Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamadโs post-election drive to scrutinize Chinese investment deals signed during the era of scandal-tainted ex-leader Najib Razak. But like Mahathir, his mentor-turned-rival-turned-ally, Anwar maintains that the effort is solely aimed at weeding out substandard deals signed by Najibโs government and is not meant to antagonise Beijing.โ - Trade war twists
Trump has officially put more tariffs on US allies than on China / Washington Post
โPresident Trump campaigned on going hard after China for ripping off the United States on trade…. Yet a year and a half into his presidency, Trump has put more tariffs on longtime U.S. allies than he has on China, his supposed โbad guyโ on trade.โ
China’s huge online retail market opens up to American Express / Seeking Alpha
โIn April, the New York financial services company best known for its credit cards and travel-related services, succeeded after many years of effort to become the first U.S. card network to receive permission to offer services in China. The Peopleโs Bank of China said American Express would be allowed to clear and settle domestic bank card transactions.โ
Japan wants to work with the US to stop China’s ‘market-distorting’ practices / CNBC - MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Chinese stocks make symbolic debut on widely followed index / CNBC
โClose to 230 China A shares debuted on index provider MSCI’s emerging markets benchmark on Friday, a move investors expect will attract billions of dollars in inflows to the mainland market.โ
Chinese stock addition to indexes will ‘change the face’ of emerging markets investing on Thursday / CNBC
Read more on The China Project: Money to follow MSCI into Chinese stock markets.
Earlier this week, Reuters reported: MSCI drops ZTE, four other companies from MSCI China A Inclusion Index. - Censorship
Comedian’s jokes trigger probe of popular Chinese app / WSJ (paywall)
โChinaโs hugely popular Jinri Toutiao news and content aggregation platform has come under investigation for allegedly slandering a Chinese war hero in violation of the countryโs new โHeroes and Martyrs Protection Law.โ The content, which has since been taken down, featured a famous satirical comic known as Baozou Comic portraying Dong Cunrui, a Communist soldier who blew himself up during the Chinese Civil War to destroy a Kuomintang bunker.โ
We noted the initial censorship of Baozou Comic in the Access email on May 18. - Travel frog mobile game to become theme park
Camsing to build ‘Travel Frog’ theme park in China / Variety
โCamsing International, the Hong Kong company that is currently sparring with Stan Lee, has licensed the rights to build a mainland China theme park based on the free-to-play mobile โTravel Frogโ game.โ Here is some background on the Japanese mobile game also known as Journey Frog or ๆ ใใใ (Tabikaeru). - Chinese student deported after sexual assault of six-year-old girl
Chinese exchange student convicted of sexually assaulting 6-year-old girl is deported from U.S. on plea deal / AP via SCMP
โYulong Li, 17, had โforcible sexual contactโ with the girl, who was a member of his host family, police said. He left for China immediately following his sentencing on Thursday.โ There does not seem to have been any Chinese-language reporting on the case yet.
VIDEO OF THE DAY
Viral on Weibo: โFlyingโ wedding veils become new fad
In videos that have gone viral, a bride stands in the middle of an aisle while her veil is โflownโ toward her before it gently drops on her head.
ON SUPCHINA
Student group at Fudan University forced to cancel annual production of โThe Vagina Monologuesโ
This year at Fudan University in Shanghai, there will not be any students talking loudly about female genitalia. Zhihe Society ็ฅๅ็คพ, an on-campus student organization committed to addressing gender issues, was forced to cancel its annual performance of the feminist play The Vagina Monologues (้ด้็ฌ็ฝ yฤซndร o dรบbรกi), which was set to take place on May 31.
Sinica Podcast: Janet Yang โ a Chinese-American woman in a Harvey Weinstein world
Janet Yang produced The Joy Luck Club, The People vs. Larry Flynt, and many other films, and is a key player in the evolving relationship between Hollywood and China. In this episode, Janet talks to Jeremy and Kaiser about Chinese film, her experiences as an Asian-American woman in Hollywood, and her current projects.
- Subscribe to the Sinica Podcast via Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed into your favorite podcast app.
China Sports Column: Ping pong champ wants his eight-year-old daughter to be a gold pro
Chinese state media has tried to elevate sprinter Su Bingtian in a desperate attempt to find a marketable sports star. Meanwhile, former world and Olympic table tennis champion Liu Guoliang is trying to turn his eight-year-old daughter into a golfing championโฆand other news from the China sports world.
The China Project Quiz: Mao’s China, 1949โ1976
Itโs the last Thursday of the month, which means itโs The China Project Quiz time! This month: 12 questions to test how much you know about the people and events that rocked the Mao era. Let us know how you did โ tweet your score to @supchinanews.
TechBuzz China: Live Streaming in China: How to Win Fans and Influence Losers
This week on TechBuzz China by Pandaily, our hosts, Ying-Ying Lu and Rui Ma, look at the Chinese live-streaming industry. They trace back the origins of this industry, whose market cap grew by almost 250 times in half a decade, explain the psychology of the ordinary Chinese involved, and break down companies such as HUYA, Inke, and M17, which are the forerunners in this arena.
- Subscribe to TechBuzz China on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or click here for the RSS feed.
Vocational school in Hunan tells students to โsay no to homosexualityโ
May 17 was International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia, and Biphobia. In China, groups of college and high school students organized a series of activities to raise awareness of LGBT rights violations. Their message apparently did not reach the Xiangtan Technical Secondary School of Industry and Commerce in Hunan province.
China Unsolved: The Black Dahlia of Nanjing
More than 20 years later, police still claim to have no idea what happened to 19-year-old Diao Aiqing, whose body was chopped into more than 2,000 pieces and distributed around her Nanjing campus. China Unsolved is a The China Project weekly series profiling Chinaโs most notorious unsolved mysteries.
Democracy-bashing Chinese writer enrolls her kid at American school
Yuan Xiaoliang ่ขๅฐ้ made a name for herself by bashing democracy. Her pro-China stances on social media have been widely cited by Chinese state media. But on May 22, she posted to Sina Weibo, where she has 400,000 followers, a note of praise for the American education system that announced she was trying to send her child abroad for school. Chinese netizens were not happy.
Why did โSolo: A Star Wars Storyโ flop at the Chinese box office?
Solo: A Star Wars Story was a domestic box office flop, and it hasnโt done much better in the world’s second-largest film market. Last weekend, the Han Solo spin-off grossed only $9.6 million in China, putting it on pace to earn $19 million total, which would be the franchiseโs lowest-performing installment in China yet.
Why did Tencent just invest in a self-media account with a history of ‘article laundering’?
It was reported on May 24 that Tencent led a $4.1 million investment in Chaping ๅทฎ่ฏ, a WeChat self-media account popular for its scathing reviews of Chinese tech companies. But the announcement was met with outrage from several bloggers, as Chaping has a reputation for “article laundering,” if not outright plagiarism.
The Caixin-Sinica Business Brief, episode 49
This week on the Business Brief: Sinaโs plan to launch a secondary listing in Hong Kong, Teslaโs tentative approval from the Shanghai government to manufacture cars in the city, controversial proposals to ban the online sale of prescription medicines, a man who was wrongfully imprisoned for 25 years and is seeking compensation, and more.
- Subscribe to the Business Brief on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher.
Video:
- A French band staged a musical performance on slacklines across a 1,400-meter-high cliff in Zhangjiajie, Hunan Province.
- Some fearless bungee jump enthusiasts leaped from the worldโs highest platform โ 260 meters above the ground โ in Zhangjiajie, Hunan Province, on May 26.
- A 50-meter-tall vertical parking lot in Taiyuan, Shanxi Province, grabbed attention online in China.
PHOTO FROM MICHAEL YAMASHITA
Singing sand dunes
Tourists explore the Singing Sand Dunes on camels at sunset in the Gobi Desert at Dunhuang, Gansu Province. When a breeze blows over the dunes, the movement of the sand produces a sound akin to singing.
โJia Guo