Is Ping An undervalued?
Dear readers,
We are hosting our third annual The China Project Womenโs Conference in New York on May 20, 2019. Itโs a conference about business, technology, and finance in the U.S-China sphere with an all-female lineup of star panelists.
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This year, we are also going to honor two The China Project Female Rising Stars for recognizable professional success in the early years of their career, one in business and one from the nonprofit sector. A third honor will go to one woman at the height of her career who has shown excellence in her field. Weโre now seeking nominations.
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Please submit your nominations before the deadline of April 5 to events@thechinaproject.com. Click here for more information and for nomination criteria.
If youโd like to attend the conference, buy your tickets soon, as early-bird prices only run until March 31. Access members get an additional 10 percent off any ticket with the promo code SCWCACCESS2019.
โJeremy Goldkorn and team
1. Is Ping An undervalued?
In a story titled โChinaโs Insurance Giant Thinks Itโs a Tech Company. Maybe It Isโ (paywall), The Wall Street Journal profiles Chinese insurance conglomerate Ping An. The WSJ notes: โBecause of Chinaโs relatively loose approach in areas such as data privacy, [the insurance and financial services conglomerate] Ping An can use technology in ways its non-Chinese peers could only dream of.โ
Aside from the data it has access to, Ping An has also been much more aggressive investing in tech than its very old-fashioned buttoned-up European and American peers. Ping An was a founding investor in Lufax, one of the strongest peer to peer (P2P) lending companies in China that just raised $1.3 billion Series C round of funding, โbringing its valuation to $39.4 billion.โ Another part of Ping An, simply named Ping An Technology says it employs 10,000 people working on artificial intelligence and other cutting edge tech.
So Ping An should be a stock market darling. The Wall Street Journal says:
The question, then, is why investors donโt afford Ping An more of a valuation premium. After a 22% rise this year, itโs still priced at just 10 times its expected earnings over the next 12 months, similar to mature European insurers such as AXA SA and Allianz SE .
Political risk may be part of the answer. Unlike in the European Union, where the rules give individuals ultimate power over the data that companies hold on them, in China the state remains the ultimate arbiter of how data is used. Changing whims in Beijing could strike a heavy blow to Ping Anโs business model at any point. Until that happens, though, the company could deserve a re-rating.
Other news from the bleeding edge of Chinese fintech:
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Chinese fintech firm CreditEase joins $125 million round of European insurtech startup / TechNode
โChinese fintech conglomerate CreditEase announced on Wednesday that its investment unitโฆparticipated in a $125 million Series B financing round of Berlin-based insurance technology firm Wefox Group.โ -
Ant Financial’s Alipay is expanding rapidly outside of China / Quartz
2. The Great Transpacific blob โ Trade war day 253
Believe it or not, it is a full year since Trump first start making specific threats of large-scale tariffs on China. 253 days ago, the first round of those tariffs went into effect, officially launching what we dubbed the โfirst great Sino-American trade war of the 21st century.โ
When the tariff threats were first made, the U.S. Trade Representative had not yet released its โSection 301โ report, and Made in China 2025 was still a relatively obscure Chinese industrial policy that mostly just policy wonks in Washington, D.C. followed in detail. That changed very quickly in 2018, and the economic conflict between the U.S. and China expanded to bring numerous concerns about technology, national security, and increasingly, ideological opposition to the forefront of U.S.-China relations. Trade issues might soon find a reasonable resolution, but these other topics are far trickier.
Note: Weโve abandoned using the term โPacific Resetโ as it is simply not accurate. Until we can find a euphonious phrase that means something like โGreat Transpacific blob of fear, greed, and uncertainty with a tech cold war on the side,โ weโll stick to โtrade war.โ
In todayโs news from the Great Transpacific blob:
Trade war and tariffs
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Trump expects news on China deal in 3-4 weeks / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
โPresident Trump says he should have news on a China deal in the next 3 to 4 weeks and he says people will be talking about it for a long time.โ -
China investment in U.S. startups keeps flowing despite new rules / WSJ (paywall)
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Chinaโs home appliance queen plays down US-China trade war / SCMP
Huawei
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Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou wanted to quit job just before arrest, says founder / Reuters
“One month before that arrest, she wanted to resign and find a job elsewhere. She was not happy working here but after being arrested this matter improved our relationship and now she understands how difficult life can be,” her father said. -
Donโt Let a China Trade Deal Kill the U.S. Campaign Against Huawei / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
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Facing US charges, Huawei holds onto Australian tech deal / Bloomberg via Straits Times
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British universities wrestle with anxiety over links to Chinese tech giant Huawei: investigation / SCMP
Generalized mutual hostility
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Google’s work in China benefiting Chinese military: U.S. general / Reuters
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Build new alliances to limit Chinaโs โillicit practicesโ, US senators urged / SCMP
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US B-52 bombers fly over disputed South China Sea for second time in 10 days / SCMP
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China hits back at US ‘prejudice’ in human rights tit-for-tat row / Guardian
โJeremy Goldkorn and Lucas Niewenhuis
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Our whole team really appreciates your support as Access members. Please chat with us on our Slack channel or contact me anytime at jeremy@thechinaproject.com.
โJeremy Goldkorn, Editor-in-Chief
p>Here are the stories that caught our eye this week:
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The figures of Chinaโs electricity output โ a more reliable indicator of economic conditions than GDP numbers โ rose 6.7 percent in February. That was one of a few signs mentioned in a speech on March 12 by the head of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
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As many as 1.5 million Muslims in Xinjiang have been detained in what the government calls โvocational training centers,โ but which function as political indoctrination camps, according to new estimates by scholar Adrian Zenz. The U.S. Department of State is now issuing statements about Xinjiang that are far more specific and condemn the human rights abuses in much stronger terms than anything in 2018. The U.S., U.K., and Germany have added to calls to allow the UN access to Xinjiang to conduct an independent assessment of arbitrary detentions, which human rights chief Michelle Bachelet has been requesting for at least three months.
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China once again blocked a UN resolution, long sought by India, and this time proposed by the U.S., U.K., and France to designate Masood Azhar, leader of Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM), as a terrorist. Despite JeM claiming responsibility for a terrorist attack in Kashmir that killed more than 40 people, China appears unwilling to single out this group, likely because it does not want to upset its โall-weather friendโ Pakistan, where JeM is based, and because Beijing worries that JeM could end up targeting Xinjiang in the future.
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Tariff indecision will continue for at least several more weeks, as Bloomberg reported that โa hoped-for summit at Trumpโs Mar-a-Lago resort will now take place at the end of April if it happens at all.โ
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The EU joined the Huawei fray, without mentioning its name, with a paper that labeled China an โeconomic competitorโ and spoke of the importance of security in 5G networks.
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Cindy Yang (Yรกng Lรฌ ๆจ่ ), a Chinese businesswoman in southern Florida who founded sketchy massage parlors and sold Chinese executives access to Trumpโs Mar-a-Lago club, has been fired from the National Committee of Asian American Republicans. Reporting also shows that she has links to the Communist Partyโs United Front.
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China grounded all Boeing 737 Max 8 planes in the country, after a second crash involving the aircraft occurred in Ethiopia, just five months after a crash in Indonesia. Media highlighted the potential impact this development could have on the future of Chinaโs competitor to the Boeing 737, the Comac C919.
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The Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), which calls itself โthe collective voice of the Muslim world,โ abandoned the Uyghurs in a statement that actually praised China for its treatment of Muslims.
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Top think tank leaders in the U.S. signed a joint statement calling for the release of Canadian Michael Kovrig, saying his detention in Beijing had a โchilling effectโ on U.S.-China relations.
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โPayday loan diplomacyโ is the term the new U.S. ambassador to Australia used to criticize Chinese influence in the Pacific.
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Girlsโ Day, March 7, was a shameful mess on Chinese campuses this year, just like last year. One radical activist at China University of Political Science and Law took to burning the sexist signs she saw hung up by her male peers.
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Chinese boy group survival reality show Idol Producer (้ๆฅๆไฝ qฤซngchลซn yวu nว) made a comeback on March 8 after skipping an episode without explanation, worrying fans. But when it came back, all the contestants who dyed their hair bright colors were given special treatment in post-production, which made their hair look black or dark brown. Is Chinese TVโs ban on bright hair color back?
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Traditional Chinese medicine: Might the long-standing reluctance to properly test the methods and herbal remedies of (TCM) be over? State media reported that the first medical center specializing in โTCM evidence-based researchโ was established.
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Parents clashed with police at a Chengdu private school after they discovered that food covered in mold was served to their children.
BUSINESS AND TECHNOLOGY:
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No property tax imminent
China’s property taxman cometh, Someday / Bloomberg (porous paywall)โDevelopers can rest easy for now. Practical hurdles mean that any levy will be implemented farther down the road.โ
Earlier this week, Reuters reported: China makes โsteady progressโ on draft property tax law -
Gloom and doom
China’s US$59 billion internet and technology bubble will trap many private-equity investors when it bursts, Bain says / SCMP
โChina’s internet and technology sector is a bubble waiting to burst, according to an annual Asia-Pacific private equity report for 2019 released by Boston-based global management consultancy Bain & Company on Friday.โ
China’s still-too-high savings makes China 2025 a bigger global risk / CFR
Chinese companies are reporting delays in getting paid by business partners / CNBC
China needs 11 million new jobs next year to ensure stability, premier says / SCMP -
Setback for UBS in Hong Kong
Hong Kong regulator bans UBS from sponsoring IPOs for one year; StanChart fined / Reuters
โUBS is the first major bank involved in stock listings to face such a suspension in the city. The US$100.2 million in fines are the toughest actions yet taken by the regulator as part of its campaign against what it sees as shoddy listing standards.โ -
A healthy hong in Hong Kong
Swire Pacific posts record sales and 80 per cent jump in 2018 profit, marking a successful handover of reins to family scion / SCMP
โSwire Pacific Limited, the publicly listed arm of one of Asiaโs largest conglomerates, reported a year of record sales and the highest profit in three years, marking a successful handover of the two century-old company to the founderโs sixth-generation scion.The companyโs underlying profit, excluding revaluation gains on investment properties, soared to HK$8.52 billion ($1.08 billion) last year.โ -
Current account deficit?
China may soon run its first annual current-account deficit in decades / Economist (porous paywall)
Former U.S. treasury official Brad Setser has a different take.
POLITICS AND CURRENT AFFAIRS:
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Pakistan foreign minister heads to Beijing this weekend
Qureshi expected to travel to Beijing for Pak-China ‘strategic consultation’: sources / Geo TV (Pakistan)
This news comes just after Pakistan did China a solid by refusing to designate Masood Azhar a terrorist:
China Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi is scheduled to travel to China on Sunday, sources informed Geo News, as the government has decided to hold a “strategic consultation” with Beijing.
The two friendly nations will be holding a dialogue to discuss the security situation in the South Asian region as well as the ongoing Indo-Pak tensions that fired up after the tragic Pulwama attack and air combat between the air forces of Islamabad and New Delhi.
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Xinjiang internment camps
Chinaโs assault on human rights is the one thing bringing Washington together / Washington Post
โIn Congress, the Uighur issue has brought together a broad and unlikely alliance of lawmakers. Just look at the list of 39 co-sponsors of the Uighur Human Rights Policy Act, which is moving through the House nowโฆHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is a sponsor, which means the bill is likely to pass the House. The Senate version, led by Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), has 25 co-sponsors, including Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.).โ
U.S. says China’s treatment of Muslim minority worst abuses ‘since the 1930s’ / Reuters
Kazakhstan silences the Xinjiang megaphone / Eurasianet
Campuses not camps: China defends Xinjiang policies at UN / AFP
Activist Accused of Inciting Hatred Helped Kazakhs Flee Chinaโs Camps / NYT (porous paywall)
Concerns Grow Over Chinese Influence at UN Human Rights Council / Radio Free Asia
โI canโt sleep: Homage to a Uyghur homelandโ / ChinaFile
โIn the 2000s, New York-based artist Lisa Ross traveled to the city of Turpan in Chinaโs Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region and photographed local people on the beds that they keep in their fields. The portraits in that series are currently on exhibit at the Miyako Yoshinaga gallery in New York through March 16, 2019. ChinaFileโs Visuals Editor, Muyi Xiao, interviewed Ross about the work and its connection to the campaign of repression and incarceration of Uighurs taking place in Xinjiang today.โ -
Summaries of Two Sessions
China’s two weeks of schmoozing and snoozing end not with a bang but a whimper / SCMP
China eases foreign investment curbs with new law / FT
An unpaywalled video on โLucy Hornby’s key takeaway from the National People’s Congress in Beijingโ -
New media propaganda
Redditors say theyโre seeing coordinated Chinese propaganda on the site / BuzzFeed News
โSources say theyโve seen an increase in posts from newly created accounts that downvote anything critical of China, swarm threads to push proโCommunist Party views, or attack anyone criticizing the country.โ -
Italy seeks economic benefits from China
Italy eyes loans from Chinaโs development bank for projects / FT (paywall)
โItaly is considering borrowing from China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank as part of plans to become the first G7 country to endorse Beijingโs contentious Belt and Road global investment programme.โ
The FT broke the news last week: Italy set to formally endorse Chinaโs Belt and Road Initiative.
Also, in Reuters: Italy signs up for belt and road infrastructure summit in China. -
Italian Belt and Road critics
Italy’s drive to join China’s Belt and Road hits pot holes / Reuters
Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conteโs plans to sign a memorandum of intent to join the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has many opponents. One of them is Lucio Caracciolo, director of the influential Limes geopolitical review:I am afraid that up until now we have handled this in too amateurish a fashion, without any real coordinationโฆ
My fear is that in the end we will lose on both counts, getting nothing substantial from China while the United States retaliates against us for having got too close to Beijing.
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Hong Kongโs own plastic pollution problem
Seas around Hong Kong drowning in microplastics as city’s obsession with unnecessary packaging leads to 11-fold increase in pollution, study shows / SCMP
A recent study shows Hong Kong ย is making its own plastic pollution, disproving โthe conventional belief that most of the cityโs marine pollution came from mainland China, flushed down from the Pearl River Delta.โ -
Effects of Chinaโs ban on foreign garbage
The US has started burning recycling but it should only be temporary / New Scientist
Recycling in โChinaโs residential and commercial recycling sector lags behind that of other countries, and the ban on foreign imports may create an opportunity for the country to better recycle its own waste.โ But it brings a new problem:
โWith a sudden drop in raw materials from recycled plastic, Chinese manufacturers are having to increase their use of new plasticsโฆThat in turn means a rise in petroleum extraction and in the resulting greenhouse gas emissions.โ -
Kenya: Heavy metals found in Chinese fish
Kenyans call for tighter controls on Chinese fish products / Chinadialogue
โFish from China sold in Kenya have been discovered to contain traces of heavy metals that threaten human health, a laboratory at the University of Nairobi found.โ -
Forgetting Tibet
Tibet struggle’s slow slide off the global radar as Dalai Lama ages / AFP
SOCIETY AND CULTURE:
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Superstition
Why do Chinese people keep throwing coins into plane engines? / Thatโs Guangzhou -
Food safety scandal in Sichuan
Two officials suspended over Sichuan food scandal / Sixth Tone โ webpage was censored; here is a screenshot.
On The China Project this week: Report of moldy food in Chengdu school sparks investigation and protests. -
Chinese views of New York
Chinese of Fifth Avenue: Why Chinese are ‘over’ Fifth Avenue / Chinarrative
โCentral Park stank, the Apple store was packed, and Times Square was a place for mascots hustling for money.”
VIDEO ON SUPCHINA
Highlights of Chinese Premier Li Keqiangโs press conference
During the two-hour-long press conference in Beijing on Friday, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang answered questions from journalists at home and abroad. He addressed foreign investorsโ concerns about accessing Chinaโs domestic markets, shared his views on the current trade war between China and the U.S., and showed confidence in the countryโs financial sector.
We also published the following videos this week:
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A Chinese policeman dressed as a woman in a video goes viral
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Vogue and Zara, Frecklegate and โbeautyโ in China, explained
FEATURED ON SUPCHINA
Domestic workers in China: Invisible, vulnerable, and indispensable
Domestic workers globally often operate in a nexus of vulnerability due to the demographic they belong in, societyโs view of the work they do, and the nature of the work itself. This is especially true in China. But scarce reporting has focused on the laborers themselves, the human element โ who these people are and why they do what they do, despite often not being afforded any workers’ rights or benefits.
Guangzhou subway picks fight with Chinese Goth, because โhorrifyingโ
Chinaโs Goth community (if there is one) recently found itself at the center of attention after a woman in full Goth attire was barred from taking the subway in Guangzhou because of her โhorrifyingโ look. According to the disgruntled Goth, the incident happened on March 10 at a subway station in Guangzhou. When going through a security check, the woman was stopped by a subway staff member who asked her to remove her makeup because itโs โproblematic and horrifying.โ
Chinese people donโt need to be saved from their English names
As a Singaporean with a Chinese name whoโs spent half of her life living in places where most people donโt speak Chinese, Jing Xuan Teng has had a strange relationship with her name. She’s also given lots of thought to the practice, common for many Asians abroad, of adopting an English name. In this op-ed, Teng argues: Donโt assume that those who do it are seeking Western approval, donโt assume that people who use English names to assimilate donโt know the worth of their own culture, and don’t assume that unusual English names are the result of insufficient knowledge.
Chinaโs intellectual dark web and its most active fanatic
Liu Zhongjing ๅไปฒๆฌ, with his philosophy called โAuntology,โ built a name for himself by espousing aggressively anti-leftist and anti-progressive views, becoming the forefather of what may well be termed China’s “intellectual dark web” (borrowing the phrase coined in early 2018 by Eric Weinstein to describe a network of โrenegadesโ in academia and media who reject identity politics in the name of “free speech”). But Liu’s views are dismissed by many critics โ even those who share his worldview โ as extreme; he’s reserved his most controversial โ and dangerous โ opinions for the Chinese state itself: new regionalism, de-Sinification, and support of separatist movements like those in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang, and Tibet.
Students at Chinaโs top university given โpolitical loyaltyโ surveys
A curious survey handed out last week to some Chinese masterโs and Ph.D. students at Peking University, recognized by many as the only โfree-thinkingโ university in China, suggests that the National Party Congress could also become a pretext for conducting a yearly checkup on the state of Chinaโs most precious elite students. Rather than ask questions about the studentsโ mental health, career plans, etc., the survey seemed to be a poorly disguised interrogation about the studentsโ political loyalty, blatantly pandering to Xi Jinping and the CCP.
U.S. campaign against Huawei stalls as Europe becomes main battleground
The U.S. is arguing that using Huawei equipment would endanger the privacy and liberty of citizens, and the security of critical infrastructure and national security systems. Nobody was making this argument in 2018. What changed? The answer revolves around growing U.S. government concerns over the dominance of Huawei in the networks of allies and โlike-mindedโ democracies in Europe and Asia. Meanwhile, for Europeans, the U.S. needs to make a stronger legal commitment and not just push for a ban. It is easy for the U.S. to argue for a ban, since there is no Huawei equipment in its major networks. Europe requires a different approach.
A $22 million soccer museum in China makes claim as the โbirthplace of footballโ
Sepp Blatter, the former president of FIFA, is not a popular man. But in Zibo, a prefecture-level city of 4.5 million in Shandong Province, his bronze-cast signature continues to grace the entrance of the Linzi Football Museum, all because he declared in 2005 that Zibo was the birthplace of world football some 2,000 years ago. But Blatterโs fixation on soccerโs supposed predecessor โ Cuju โ was not born of innate historical and archaeological interest. Of course, just as FIFA had financial interests in China, China has political interests in FIFA โ specifically, it wants to host a World Cup.
Kuora: All the ways women had to rise above oppression in China
Of the myriad ways in which women were oppressed in China, probably the most glaring and cruelest form of oppression was the practice of foot binding, which was first noted in the Tang dynasty. Chinese society has for most of recorded history been very unequal โ and remains so in many ways today, for all the progress that’s been made.
Chinese proposal aims to clean up live streaming in the name of underage internet users
The All-China Youth Federation, a government-backed organization affiliated with the Communist Youth League of China, has introduced a proposal to limit minorsโ access to online games while protecting their identities online. The initiative hones in on the live-streaming industry, which has exploded in China in recent years.
SINICA PODCAST NETWORK
Sinica Podcast: Is there really an epidemic of self-censorship among China scholars?
This weekโs Sinica was recorded at UPennโs Center for Study on Contemporary China. Jeremy and Kaiser speak with three prominent scholars on China: Sheena Greitens, associate professor of political science at the University of Missouri, Rory Truex, assistant professor of politics and public affairs at Princeton University, and Neysun Mahboubi, research scholar at the Center for the Study of Contemporary China at the University of Pennsylvania. The group tackles a topic that has long beleaguered China-watching circles: self-censorship. In addition, it focuses on a paper that Sheena and Rory published last summer, Repressive Experiences among China Scholars: New Evidence from Survey Data.
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Subscribe to the Sinica Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed into your favorite podcast app.
TechBuzz China: Ep. 40: Chinaโs Newest Stock Exchange Experiment: Shanghaiโs Technology Innovation Board
In Episode 40 of TechBuzz China, co-hosts Ying-Ying Lu and Rui Ma talk about the new โTechnology Innovation Boardโ on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, which formally announced its first set of rules last week. Rui and Ying-Ying explain that given its recent trajectory, this registration-based NASDAQ-style board could be launched in a few months, if not weeks โ much more quickly than skeptics have assumed. With this news as the backdrop, this weekโs episode serves as a quick primer into the differences between China and the U.S.โs capital markets, as well as how these contrasts may explain some of the differences in Chinese tech entrepreneurship and capital versus those in the U.S.
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Subscribe to TechBuzz China on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed into your favorite podcast app.
ChinaEconTalk: One hour, Two Sessions
Chinaโs Two Sessions, the national annual gathering of the leadership of the Peopleโs Republic of China, will soon be coming to a close. This week on ChinaEconTalk, Jordan sat down with Chris Beddor, a columnist for Reuters Breakingviews, to discuss highlights from this yearโs gathering, including state-owned enterprise reform, implications for Made in China 2025, the evolving role of Li Keqiang, and more.
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Subscribe to ChinaEconTalk on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed straight into your favorite podcast app.
NรผVoices: Shui, on Beijing’s zine scene
In the 12th episode of the NรผVoices podcast, Alice Xin Liu and Sophie Lu interview Shuilam Wong, who goes by Shui, a comic artist who partnered with Jinna Kaneko to create the Hole in the Wall Collective. The two high school friends met back in the city and decided to create their own indie zine (self-published magazine).
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Subscribe to the NรผVoices Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed into your favorite podcast app.
Middle Earth: Episode #4: Movie co-production in China
Until the 1990s, Hollywood movies were making the vast majority of their revenue in English-speaking countries. Nowadays, these countries comprise only half the market. The main reason for the change is the appearance of new markets, including the most important one of all: China. What problems do foreign film professionals and their teams face while vying to tap into the Chinese market? How do cultural disparities and regulations fit into the equation? What is the current lay of the land in the Chinese film industry from the perspective of a director or a producer? In this episode, our guests provide their firsthand experience to answer these questions.
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Subscribe to Middle Earth on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher, or plug the RSS feed into your favorite podcast app.
The Caixin-Sinica Business Brief, episode 79
This week on the Caixin-Sinica Business Brief: The death of Chu Shijian ่คๆถๅฅ, recent news about Chinaโs ambition to build 5G networks worldwide, the opening of a Communist-hero-themed KFC in China, the podcastโs co-producer Tanner Brown on the two big political meetings happening in Beijing, and more.
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Subscribe to the Business Brief on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, or Stitcher.
PHOTO OF THE DAY
Snow day in Xinjiang
A police officer clears snow in Urumqi Bazaar, one of the most popular tourist attractions in the city. This image is part of a photo essay that Daniel Hinks contributed for The China Project.