A bull’s-eye on Huawei’s kitschy Shenzhen headquarters
Dear Access members,
One must-read piece today: Professor James Millward in the New York Review of Books: ‘Reeducating’ Xinjiang’s Muslims.
You may be familiar with Jim from previous Sinica Podcasts: Alarm bells in the ivory tower: The Cambridge University Press censorship fiasco and It’s all connected: Silk Roads old and new. We also have another new podcast with Jim on Xinjiang, to be published in the next few weeks.
Another recommended read: Engineers of the Soul: Ideology in Xi Jinping’s China, by veteran Australian journalist and government adviser John Garnaut on Sinocism.
If you’re in a rush today, here are the China stories you need to know:
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Huawei received bad news on multiple fronts: The U.S. federal government is investigating it for stealing trade secrets, while the American congress is proposing bans on selling to the company. The German government and Oxford University are also souring on Huawei.
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Beijing received good news: The Trump administration is considering easing tariffs as part of a trade deal at the beginning of March, or even sooner as a goodwill gesture.
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Another Canadian was briefly detained in Beijing, en route back to Canada, but released after two hours.
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Dozens of Fortune 500 companies were identified as having the “wrong listing of Taiwan” on their websites, in a second wave of what the Trump administration last year dubbed “Orwellian nonsense” from Beijing.
—Jeremy Goldkorn and team
1. Taking aim at Huawei
On top of all the setbacks Huawei has received in recent months — such as employees being arrested in Canada and Poland, and countries from Australia to New Zealand to Japan banning the company from participating in sensitive sectors — Huawei received at least four pieces of bad news in the past day:
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The U.S. government is “pursuing a criminal investigation of China’s Huawei Technologies Co. for allegedly stealing trade secrets from U.S. business partners, including technology used by T-Mobile US Inc. to test smartphones,” the Wall Street Journal reports (paywall).
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A “bipartisan group of US lawmakers introduced bills on Wednesday that would ban the sale of US chips or other components to Huawei Technologies Co Ltd, ZTE Corp or other Chinese telecommunications companies that violate US sanctions or export control laws,” the SCMP says.
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Oxford University “will suspend all new research grants and donations from Huawei… In an email sent to its computer science doctoral students, the university said the Committee to Review Donations — part of the university’s Council Secretariat — made the decision last week,” also according to the SCMP.
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Germany is “actively considering stricter security requirements and other ways to exclude China’s Huawei Technologies [HWT.UL] from a buildout of fifth-generation (5G) mobile networks, the Handelsblatt newspaper reported,” Reuters says.
The Chinese foreign ministry took aim at the U.S. legislation proposal in particular, saying the “real intent of the United States is to employ its state apparatus in every conceivable way to suppress and block out China’s high-tech companies,” the Guardian reports. The Global Times dubbed (in Chinese) the American actions “technological McCarthyism” (高科技领域的麦卡锡主义 gāokējì lǐngyù de màikǎxī zhǔyì).
But it is important to keep in mind, as the BBC points out, that “bans aside, the company is doing well. In 2018 it shipped more than 200 million handsets — second only to Samsung.”
—Lucas Niewenhuis
2. Trade war, day 196: U.S. officials debate easing tariffs
Vice premier Liu He was officially confirmed by the Chinese Commerce Ministry to be travelling to D.C. on January 30-31 for high-level trade talks. When he arrives, he may be greeted with an unusual goodwill gesture from his interlocutors. The Wall Street Journal reports (paywall):
U.S. officials are debating ratcheting back tariffs on Chinese imports as a way to calm markets and give Beijing an incentive to make deeper concessions in a trade battle that has rattled global economies.
The idea of lifting some or all tariffs was proposed by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin in a series of strategy meetings… [The debate] hasn’t yet reached President Trump… [but] the president has made clear he wants a deal—and is pressing [trade representative] Lighthizer to deliver one…
In talks with members of the trade team, Mr. Mnuchin raised the possibility of offering to eliminate tariffs during discussions scheduled for Jan. 30 in Washington with top Chinese trade envoy Liu He—a month ahead of the target date to conclude the negotiations.
In the discussions with China, [Lighthizer] has said the U.S. should remove tariffs only when China has shown it has carried out promises made during the talks.
But Mr. Lighthizer has shown some signs of easing his position, say people involved in the talks, including raising the possibility that some tariffs could be eliminated if the U.S. strikes a favorable deal on March 1.
Since last week, it has become clear that the trajectory has shifted towards tariffs being lowered, rather than kept or raised at the end of the 90-day period, largely because Trump is reportedly eager to rally stock markets. This is more evidence of that trend.
Other trade-war-related news today:
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Bond market
China Pledges to Further Open Bond Market to Foreign Investors / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
People’s Bank of China Deputy Governor Pan Gongsheng: “We’re researching and plan to issue new index products such as bond ETFs to facilitate foreign investors, and will improve connectivity between central custodian institutions.”
JPMorgan China CEO Says ‘Very Optimistic’ About China’s Bond Market / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
China pushes for bonds to be included in global indices even as some foreign investors seek delay / SCMP
“Beijing is pushing hard for the inclusion of yuan-denominated bonds that are traded in onshore markets in major global bond indices, in an effort to encourage needed capital inflows. But some foreign investors are pushing back on an early inclusion, claiming they have not yet created the necessary infrastructure to handle the investments that would result.” -
Economic growth expectations
China’s growth set to slow to 6.3 percent in 2019, more stimulus seen: Reuters poll / Reuters -
Britain-China business
Exclusive: British Lotus cars to be ‘Made in China’ at new Geely plant: documents / Reuters
“The Chinese owner of Lotus plans to start producing the British sports car brand in China for the first time with the opening of a new 9 billion yuan ($1.3 billion) factory in Wuhan city, company job advertisements and government documents showed.” -
Pressure from Germany
Germany pushes China to open its financial sector / Reuters
“Germany and China are working on ways to improve market access for each other’s banks and insurers, the German finance minister said on Thursday, and he welcomed plans by China and the United States to ease trade tensions through talks.” -
Soybean demand declining?
China’s soybean imports show American farmers have more to fear than the trade war / CNBC
“China’s soybean imports in the opening weeks of 2019 have plunged from recent years, raising concerns for American farmers who were hoping that a trade deal would offer swift relief.” -
Indonesia
Indonesia’s Presidential Challenger Wants a Better China Trade Deal / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
“Indonesian presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto vowed to “seek a better deal” in trade with China, making relations with Beijing a key issue ahead of an April election in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.” -
Private sector
China Premier Li Keqiang invites harsh words on economy from private sector top brass / SCMP -
Chinese students abroad
Chinese students are flocking to Thai universities, drawn by cheaper fees and friendlier visa rules / SCMP -
New book on U.S.-China history
Shan Weijian’s Out of the Gobi traces 40 years of US-China ties / Quartz
—Lucas Niewenhuis
3. Another Canadian briefly detained by Beijing
Ti-Anna Wang (王天安 Wáng Tiānān), the daughter of jailed Chinese democracy advocate Wáng Bǐngzhāng 王炳章, was reportedly separated from her husband (they are both Canadian citizens) and detained with her baby daughter for two hours while in transit through Beijing.
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Wang had received a valid visa and attempted to enter China on January 9 to visit her ailing father, but was denied entry and sent to South Korean island, CTV News reports.
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On January 16, she tried to fly back to Canada via China, but was detained in Beijing and sent back to South Korea, the Star Vancouver reports.
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Irwin Cotler, a lawyer who has argued for Wang Bingzhang’s release for years, connected the harassment of Ti-Anna Wang with that of other Canadians in recent weeks. Ti-Anna Wang stated in an email to Cotler, “It was a shocking, terrifying and senseless ordeal with no purpose but to bully, punish and intimidate me and my family.”
Other links related to Canada-China relations:
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Canada summons Chinese ambassador over interrogation of Michael Kovrig / SCMP
“Canada has protested against the interrogation of Michael Kovrig, the former Canadian diplomat detained in China, about his previous diplomatic work in the country, saying it violated the diplomatic immunity he is guaranteed under international law.” -
Canada Feud Damaging China’s Reputation, Trudeau Envoy Says / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
“Ambassador John McCallum told reporters Wednesday that China’s prosecutions of Canadian nationals risked undermining their own interests among the world’s business community. McCallum, a former lawmaker, said he believed that argument would prove more compelling to Chinese officials than seeking support from business and foreign governments to pressure Beijing.” -
China’s death sentence for Canadian is politically motivated, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says / SCMP
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Trudeau’s refreshed cabinet meets in Quebec amid economic uncertainty, China tensions / CBC News
—Lucas Niewenhuis
4. More Orwellian nonsense, now directed at dozens of Fortune 500 companies
We made a small note in section 6 of our Red Paper:
American companies, particularly airlines, came under pressure from China for listing Taiwan as a “country” in drop-down menus and similar offenses in Beijing’s eyes. The White House called this “Orwellian nonsense,” and pushed back on Beijing’s censorship, but by late July, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and more companies joined dozens of others who accommodated Beijing’s demands.
Today brings news of more Orwellian nonsense, originating from a report by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) and the Internet Development Research Institution at Peking University and reliably transmitted by the Global Times:
83 Fortune 500 firms have wrong listing of Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao: research
A total of 83 foreign companies among the Fortune 500 companies listed in 2017 still show Taiwan, Hong Kong or Macao as not being integral to China on their websites, a report showed on Wednesday, drawing strong criticism from industry insiders who called on the firms to “respect China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.”
Those companies include Nike, Apple, and Amazon, the SCMP notes, though this wave of Beijing-pushed political correctness, like the last one, also brings pressure on non-American companies.
This comes two weeks after Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen’s speech outlining a vision for a “healthy and normal” relationship between Beijing and Taipei, and Xi Jinping’s total rejection of that vision. Xi’s counteroffer of a Hong Kong–style “one country, two systems” is equally unsavory to Taiwanese — 75 percent oppose integration by that approach, according to a new survey.
A presidential spokesman in Taipei decried the “out-of-control actions” of Beijing, including the new pressure on Fortune 500 companies, and called on the “international community to face this squarely and to unite efforts to reduce and contain such actions.”
Minxin Pei, a professor at Claremont McKenna College, writes in the ASPI Strategist: “While inflicting economic pain and diplomatic humiliation on Taiwan may produce some short-term psychological satisfaction for China, the island will adjust over time and Chinese actions will yield decreasing returns… Unless China’s leaders break the cycle, an escalating battle of wills with the U.S. could erupt into direct conflict.”
Three other Taiwan links today:
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Taiwan parts of recent Pentagon report highlighted
U.S. increasingly concerned about a Chinese attack on Taiwan / Foreign Policy (porous paywall)
“A new assessment of China’s military power published by the department’s Defense Intelligence Agency hints that Beijing is building up its military capabilities so that it will have a range of options to attack Taiwan if it decides to — and potentially the United States if it intervenes militarily.” -
Seeking economic buffers in region
Taiwan to closely monitor CPTPP membership discussions: MOFA / Focus Taiwan
“Taiwan will closely watch upcoming membership expansion discussions for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTTP) to be held this Saturday to prepare for its push to join the trade bloc, a Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) official said Thursday.” -
African swine fever worries
Taipei airport checks all carry-on luggage of Chinese tourists in bid to halt spread of African swine fever / Hong Kong Free Press
“Taipei’s Taoyuan International Airport is checking all carry-on luggage belonging to tourists from Hong Kong, Macau and mainland China for pork products, in a bid to prevent the spread of African swine fever.”
—Lucas Niewenhuis
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Our whole team really appreciates your support as Access members. Please chat with us on our Slack channel or contact me anytime at jeremy@thechinaproject.com.
—Jeremy Goldkorn, Editor-in-Chief
BUSINESS AND TECHNOLOGY:
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China solar funding falls
Global clean energy funding dips 8% as China cools solar boom / Bloomberg (porous paywall)
“Investment in wind and solar energy, along with technologies like smart power meters, reached $332.1 billion last year, down 8 percent from 2017, according to a report Wednesday from Bloomberg.”
“China was again the biggest clean-energy spender at $100.1 billion, but that was down 32 percent from 2017’s record. A 53 percent drop in Chinese solar investment was a key driver in the worldwide decline, according to Jenny Chase, lead solar analyst at BNEF.” -
Drug prices and generic drugs
Pharma firms allowed to set their own prices for cancer drug in central province / Caixin (paywall)
“In a statement released on Tuesday, the Henan government authorized German firm Novartis Pharma Produktions GmbH, which owns Gleevec, and Chinese firms Jiangsu Hansoh Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Ltd., which sell generic versions of the drug, to continue doing so, citing supply fears.” -
Short video and content regulations
Norms for the administration of online short video platforms and detailed implementation rules for online short video content review standards / China Law Translate
ByteDance can’t outrun Beijing’s shadow / Foreign Policy (porous paywall) -
Unreliable pollution numbers
How a corrupt testing system left pollution unchecked in China / Caixin (paywall)
“Despite investing huge material and financial resources into China’s war on pollution, glaring falsifications and outright corruption persist in some of China’s fundamental environmental monitoring data. Environmental testing and monitoring was privatized in 2015, and has since become an enormous and lucrative industry.” -
Nuclear energy in the U.K.
China to help plug UK nuclear power gap as Japanese plans falter / Reuters
“China’s General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) will bring forward plans to build a nuclear plant in Britain, it said on Thursday, helping plug a gap left by the failure of two Japanese projects. Japan’s Hitachi Ltd confirmed on Thursday it had frozen plans for a plant in Wales, while Toshiba Corp scrapped its British NuGen project last year.” -
Lunar lander leaves plants to freeze
China’s first lunar leaf dies after Chang’e scientists forced to cut power to stop battery running low / SCMP
“China’s dream of a moon harvest has died young. Just two days after they announced that plant shoots had to come to life on the moon, the Chang’e team said a lack of battery capacity meant they had been forced to cut off the power supply that kept them alive.”
China’s first plant to grow on the moon is already dead / CNN -
Microsoft in Shanghai
Microsoft to launch its biggest AI, IoT lab in Shanghai / TechNode
“Microsoft plans to open its biggest artificial intelligence and internet of things lab in Shanghai, aiming to launch a smart platform for Chinese businesses in sectors varying from manufacturing to healthcare.” -
Game of Thrones game from Tencent
China’s Tencent releases test version of Game of Thrones smartphone game / Reuters
“The launch comes just weeks after Chinese authorities gave their nod to two batches of new video games after a freeze on approvals for most of last year that had spooked players in the world’s largest gaming market.” -
Bankruptcy court
Shenzhen’s new bankruptcy court could track assets transferred to Hong Kong / SCMP
“China has created a special bankruptcy court in Shenzhen to handle ‘cross-border’ cases, but experts have said it will not extend the mainland’s judicial reach into Hong Kong. -
Debt in property companies
Jiayuan crash underscores China property risks / FT (paywall)
“The combination of the large amounts of dollar debt the [property] companies have amassed and a flagging Chinese economy has left property developers in investors’ crosshairs for the last year. Chinese developers have about $55 billion of maturing onshore debt in 2019, according to data provider Dealogic, which accentuates concern over potential defaults.” -
Digital payments squeeze
New policy puts revenue squeeze on China’s payments giants / TechCrunch
“Starting this week, non-bank payments companies must place 100 percent of their customer deposit funds under centralized, interest-free accounts as Beijing moves to rein in financial risks.” -
Tech investment winter
China’s Tencent and Alibaba hit the brakes after dealmaking binge / FT (paywall)
“Tencent’s buying spree in particular abated sharply after striking 70 deals in the first quarter of 2018 — roughly half the full-year tally — as China’s ‘capital winter’ began to bite.” -
Overwork culture
Overdoing it: The cost of China’s long-hours culture / FT (paywall)
Working-hour limits in China “are loosely enforced, and more than 40 percent of respondents to [the 2017 China Labour Dynamics Survey] reported working longer than 50 hours a week.” -
Corporate bond defaults
Chinese corporate bonds set for another wave of defaults / FT (paywall)
“Last year’s 151 billion yuan ($22.3 billion) in defaults made it a banner year for credit events in the domestic corporate bond market. Ordinarily, this would be welcomed: the first renminbi corporate bond default was as recent as 2014 and was a watershed moment for regulators, who had previously chosen to underpin moral hazard rather than recognize failure. However, nearly 90 percent of the defaulted paper in 2018 was issued by private sector companies, reflecting how much they have been disproportionately hurt by tightening credit conditions.” -
Wine and climate change
Climate change is turning China into wine country / Chinadialogue
“Production is moving north with major consequences for European winemakers, writes Kan Karoline.” -
Hydropower projects
China approves large new upstream dam project on the Yangtze river / Reuters
POLITICS AND CURRENT AFFAIRS:
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Anti-Chinese protests in Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyz police disperse anti-Chinese rally / Reuters
“Anti-Chinese sentiment has grown in the former Soviet republic of six million people since an incident at Bishkek’s main power plant a year ago caused a five-day blackout following its upgrade carried out by a Chinese firm. The firm has not been officially charged with any wrongdoing.
Hostility toward Beijing has also been fueled by reports of mass detentions of ethnic Kyrgyz — alongside fellow Turkic Muslims such as Uighurs and Kazakhs — in China’s western province of Xinjiang.” -
India sends a military message to China
To counter China’s military buildup, India orders moving of strategic ITBP command to Leh / Times of India
“The about-90,000-strong force not only guards the scenic Pangong lake in this area but also the upper reaches of the Himalayan mountain ranges that run across China.”
India bolsters defense on border with China by building 44 new roads / SCMP
“India will spend US$2.9 billion on 44 roads close to its border with China, to ensure quick mobilization of troops in the event of conflict, according to a government document.” -
Sri Lanka
Chinese firm completes US$1.4 billion land reclamation works for Sri Lanka’s Colombo Port City project / SCMP
“A Chinese state-owned company marked on Wednesday the completion of an ambitious land reclamation near Sri Lanka’s capital Colombo, part of Beijing’s ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ that has alarmed India and the West.” -
The reverse population bomb: Not enough babies
China’s looming crisis: A shrinking population / NYT (porous paywall)
“Chinese academics recently delivered a stark warning to the country’s leaders: China is facing its most precipitous decline in population in decades, setting the stage for potential demographic, economic and even political crises in the near future.” -
China and Russia
4 big trends for China and Russia in 2019 / China-Russia Report
“A special edition of the Report covering four big trends for China and Russia in 2019,” including:-
The economy and energy markets
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Apprentice Season 3: The Moscow Project (and sanctions)
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The ghosts of authoritarian political interference past, present, and yet-to-come
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Central and South Asia
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China and the Philippines
Philippines should take over shipyard to keep it from Chinese, officials say / NYT (porous paywall)
“The Philippine government should take control of the country’s largest shipyard, the defense secretary said on Thursday, after officials raised concerns that Chinese companies seeking to take it over would act as agents of Beijing, projecting China’s power deeper into the region.”
Philippine defense chief urges review of US treaty amid South China Sea tensions / SCMP
“Manila should review its defense agreement with Washington to clarify when the United States will come to its aid, as tensions in the South China Sea are the Philippines’ ‘most difficult’ security challenge, its Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana said on Thursday.”
Chinese naval escort fleet pays friendly visit to Philippines / Xinhua -
The red Walter White
China’s ‘godfather of crystal meth’ executed / BBC -
Sri Lanka’s China debt
Sri Lanka to receive $1 billion Bank of China loan this quarter / Reuters
“Sri Lanka will receive a loan of $1 billion from Bank of China before the end of the January-March quarter, the chief of the central bank said on Thursday, to help the country meet repayments in the coming months.”
Sri Lanka mulls big loan from China to repay debts / Taipei Times -
Food safety
Norovirus outbreak hits 170 pupils in Chinese kindergarten / SCMP
“Dozens of kindergarten children reported symptoms of food poisoning after lunch at a school in Fujian province on Wednesday, renewing the debate on food safety on Chinese campuses. The Fujian outbreak involving 170 children came after an international school in Shanghai was found in October to have stored moldy vegetables and expired seasonings and led to city-wide hygiene checks.” -
Press freedom in Hong Kong
Beijing’s assault on Hong Kong freedoms worsened considerably in 2018, says NGO Human Rights Watch / Hong Kong Free Press
SOCIETY AND CULTURE:
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Fiction
A celebrated Chinese novelist dreams up a nightmare sci-fi allegory / NPR
Interview with author Yan Lianke:
The newest novel by celebrated Chinese novelist Yan Lianke is a poetic nightmare that’s being compared with James Joyce’s Ulysses.
The Day the Sun Died is set in the course of a single, perpetual summer day and night in which the inhabitants of a small village in China rise from their slumber and sleepwalk through town.
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School violence
Schoolyard fight turns into tragedy in China as child stabbed to death / SCMP
“Police in central China have detained a 13-year-old boy after he allegedly stabbed a classmate to death during lunchtime argument at school, according to authorities.” -
Architecture and urban infrastructure
Massive sky corridor connected atop four skyscrapers in Chongqing / Shanghaiist
“The megacity of Chongqing has added yet another extraordinary piece of architecture to its city skyline with a massive ‘sky corridor’ that stretches across the top of four neighboring skyscrapers.” -
Zoological gardens
The problem with China’s white tiger obsession / Sixth Tone
“Desperate to sell tickets, the country’s underfunded zoos have lost sight of their true mission: conservation and education.” -
Fines for walking while smartphoning
‘Smartphone zombie’ fine cheered on Chinese social media / BBC
“A woman has been fined for being a ‘smartphone zombie’ in the eastern Chinese city of Wenzhou, and social media users in China are supporting the move. The woman, identified as Ms Hu, was fined 10 yuan [$1.48] for using her mobile phone while crossing the road.” -
Nightclubs
Mainland pressure — China’s underground club culture / MAEKAN
A record of “a tour of 5 Chinese cities this October to try and get a sense of what’s going on in China’s clubs.”
VIDEO ON SUPCHINA
This dad performs surgery on fruit
Wang Yexiao, age 32, from Hegang, Heilongjiang Province, has filmed himself performing “surgery” on all kinds of fruit, including grapes, mangoes, bananas, and durian. As a doctor, he said he wanted to use the video to teach people about surgery and other medical information.
Get your nails done in Lunar New Year fashion!
This manicurist in China goes all the way with nail designs, and brings Lunar New Year designs literally to people’s fingertips.
FEATURED ON SUPCHINA
China Business Corner: WeChat founder Allen Zhang and the Tencent conference
In the wake of Tencent’s recent annual conference, it’s WeChat mastermind Allen Zhang week here at China Business Corner. First we’ll take a look at an extended profile of the man himself, whose product decisions about WeChat have more immediate impact on Chinese people’s daily lives than most political decisions (the article, incidentally, was censored after one day), then turn to his recent four-hour speech at the Tencent conference, which some critics have argued is a “reality distortion field” that doesn’t address WeChat’s fundamental problems.
Luckin Coffee continues ambitious rampage: Is it really China’s Starbucks — or the next Ofo?
Luckin Coffee, founded in November 2017, already has 2,000 offline stores, and it recently announced plans to open another 2,500 stores in 2019, which would make it the largest coffee retail provider in China. But it has also been significantly subsidizing its coffee and investing extravagantly in advertisements, leading many to wonder — will it surpass Starbucks in China, or is it destined to run out of money first, like Ofo?
SINICA PODCAST NETWORK
Sinica Podcast: Gene-edited babies, CRISPR, and China’s changing ethical landscape
This week on Sinica, Kaiser and Jeremy chat with Christina Larson, a science and technology reporter for the Associated Press, about a major story that her team broke: the Chinese scientist Hè Jiànkuí 贺建奎 announcement that he had edited the genes of embryos conceived in vitro, and that twin girls had been born, making them — if his claims are true — the world’s first gene-edited babies.
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Access members can get an exclusive early preview of Sinica each week by plugging this RSS feed directly into their podcast app.
PHOTO OF THE DAY
Wedding feast
In a village outside Lijiang, Yunnan Province, preparations are made for a wedding feast, which will feed over 600 people from surrounding villages. The celebration features eating, drinking, and dancing around a bonfire to Lisu ethnic music. Photo by Matthew Chitwood, who is @theotherchina on Instagram.